Swan Defence and Heavy Industries Ltd, a growing name in India’s defense and heavy engineering space, is gaining the attention of investors. With a strong promoter holding and limited public float, this stock has displayed robust momentum in recent trading sessions. As of April 15, 2025, the stock is trading at its 52-week high, indicating heightened investor interest. In this article, we will analyze the company's current performance, shareholding pattern, and future share price targets from 2025 to 2030.
Current Performance Overview for Swan Defence Share Price
Let’s first examine the recent stock performance metrics for Swan Defence:
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Open Price: ₹99.79
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Previous Close: ₹95.04
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Volume: 555 shares
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Value (Lacs): ₹0.55
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VWAP (Volume Weighted Average Price): ₹99.79
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Beta: 0.00
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Market Capitalization: ₹525 Crore
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High: ₹99.79
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Low: ₹99.79
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Upper Circuit Limit: ₹99.79
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Lower Circuit Limit: ₹90.28
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52-Week High: ₹99.79
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52-Week Low: ₹37.80
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Face Value: ₹10
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All-Time High: ₹119.70
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All-Time Low: ₹0.90
Swan Defence is currently trading at ₹99.79 — its 52-week high and also the upper circuit limit, showing strong bullish sentiment. The all-time high of ₹119.70 offers a near-term psychological target for investors, while the significantly low all-time bottom of ₹0.90 shows the stock has come a long way, possibly backed by structural changes and renewed interest in defense manufacturing.
Shareholding Pattern for Swan Defence
Understanding the equity distribution of the company helps determine ownership concentration and market float:
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Promoters: 94.91%
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Retail and Others: 4.66%
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Other Domestic Institutions: 0.40%
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Foreign Institutions: 0.02%
With promoters holding a massive 94.91% stake, the company displays a high degree of internal confidence. The extremely low public shareholding contributes to tight floating stock, which often results in sharp price movements due to supply constraints in the market.
Swan Defence Share Price Target Forecast From 2025 to 2030
Based on the current price trends, market positioning, and potential growth from increased defense spending and strategic government initiatives like “Make in India,” here are the projected share price targets for Swan Defence:
Year | Share Price Target (₹) |
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2025 | ₹100 – ₹130 |
2026 | ₹130 – ₹160 |
2027 | ₹160 – ₹200 |
2028 | ₹200 – ₹240 |
2029 | ₹240 – ₹280 |
2030 | ₹280 – ₹320 |
2025 Swan Defence Share Price Target: ₹100 – ₹130
In 2025, the stock is expected to trade between ₹100 and ₹130. With the stock already touching the 52-week high, future momentum may depend on:
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Continued government investment in defense and naval projects
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Entry into new contracts or defense partnerships
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Investor optimism around import substitution and indigenous defense manufacturing
2026 Swan Defence Share Price Target: ₹130 – ₹160
By 2026, the price could move up to the ₹160 level. Factors influencing this target include:
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Growth in order book through strategic defense contracts
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Expansion of production capabilities
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Low public float continuing to create upward pressure
2027 Swan Defence Share Price Target: ₹160 – ₹200
In 2027, the stock may touch the ₹200 mark due to:
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Large-scale defense contracts from Indian and allied foreign governments
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Operational profitability and margin expansion
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Potential listing of group subsidiaries or business expansion news
2028 Swan Defence Share Price Target: ₹200 – ₹240
This year’s projected growth will likely stem from:
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Export opportunities in defense and heavy equipment
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Technological upgrades in manufacturing
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Inclusion in defense-focused indices, attracting institutional buying
2029 Swan Defence Share Price Target: ₹240 – ₹280
By 2029, Swan Defence could trade in the range of ₹240 to ₹280, supported by:
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Entry into aerospace, marine engineering, or heavy vehicle manufacturing
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Reduction in debt (if any), leading to stronger balance sheets
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Institutional investor interest increasing over time
2030 Swan Defence Share Price Target: ₹280 – ₹320
Looking into 2030, the stock may aim for ₹320, with long-term growth driven by:
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Expansion into global markets
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Consistent profitability and dividend payouts
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Brand establishment as a key defense manufacturing player in India
Key Factors Influencing Swan Defence’s Share Price
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Government Policy: Focus on Make in India and defense indigenization
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Limited Public Holding: Tight supply results in strong upward movements
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Sectoral Tailwinds: Rising defense budgets and export encouragement
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Technological Capability: Ability to innovate in defense-grade equipment
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Strategic Partnerships: Collaborations with DRDO, PSU, or foreign defense giants
Risks and Challenges
While the growth prospects are promising, investors should be aware of the following risks:
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Low Liquidity: Thin trading volumes can increase volatility
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Regulatory Risk: Changes in defense procurement policy can impact growth
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Execution Risk: Delays in project delivery or quality issues
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High Promoter Holding: Lack of institutional participation may limit analyst coverage
FAQs
What is the projected share price of Swan Defence in 2025?
The expected range is ₹100 to ₹130, considering current price momentum and strong sectoral support.
What makes Swan Defence an attractive stock?
Its dominant promoter holding, sectoral support from government initiatives, and recent bullish performance make it attractive for long-term investors.
Is Swan Defence a risky investment?
Yes, due to low public float and limited trading volume. However, the upside potential remains high due to government support for the defense sector.
Conclusion
Swan Defence and Heavy Industries Ltd is at a promising junction, with its stock price reflecting increased investor interest and sectoral optimism. With the government's focus on boosting indigenous defense manufacturing and the company’s strong promoter holding, Swan Defence has the potential to deliver substantial returns in the coming years. However, investors must weigh the risks, especially regarding liquidity and execution challenges, before making a long-term commitment.